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Solution
Using innovative development
of our ForeCoast® Marine risk
management application, and
based on information provided by
Port of Tyne, we simulated real,
key operational activities, their
interdependencies and associated
metrological constraints.
For example, the model simulates
the arrival of ships, waiting
outside the port, the use of pilots
and tugs, berthing and cargo
operations, based on known wind,
wave, and water level thresholds.
By varying the underlying
metocean data to include both
historic and climate projection
data sets, we were able to
assess resulting changes to
the operations, thereby
providing essential input to
the Port's climate change
adaptation strategy.
For example, in a situation
Benefit
The work was well received by the
Port of Tyne team. By partnering
with them in this way, we have
provided invaluable guidance on:
• How the changing climate might
affect port performance before the
end of the century
• Identifying opportunities to
improve port efficiency
• Optimising future investments
(e.g. berth redevelopment) in the
face of a changing climate.
This study has shown that,
given the complex nature of port
operations, the impacts of climate
change will not be linear, and
may in fact represent a complex
mix of both positive and
negative impacts.
It is expected that the exact
nature of how these impacts
balance out will very much be
dependent on the geography
of the port and the nature of
its operations.
More research is required to
explore these considerations, and
the ECMWF's Climate Data Store
represents a very good vehicle to
do so.
martin.williams@jbaconsulting.com | +44 (0)1756 699500
www.jbaconsulting.com | @JBAConsulting | JBA Consulting
with unabated carbon emissions
through to 2070, sea level rise
is projected. The simulations
determined that this would allow
large vessels to enter the port
more frequently.
The resulting flexibility when
scheduling vessel arrivals may also
result in more evenly distributed
requests for pilots and tugs which
benefit vessels of all sizes. This
was found to offset small changes
to wave and wind conditions.
Location:
Port of Tyne,
South Shields,
Northeast England
Client
Deltares on behalf
of ECMWF
Date
2018